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Ligue 3 · France
Concarneau vs Gobelins prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Concarneau host Gobelins in the Ligue 3 (France) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Concarneau 2–1 Gobelins.
Going into the match, Concarneau had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Gobelins had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Concarneau's last 10 and 4 of Gobelins's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Concarneau averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Gobelins averaged 1.20 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Concarneau and 0.83 from Gobelins. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 23%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Concarneau (green) and Gobelins (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concarneau | DWWDD | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Gobelins | WDLDD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Apr 2026 · Concarneau 0–0 Gobelins
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Concarneau Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.