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Liga MX · Mexico
Club Tijuana vs Puebla prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Tijuana host Puebla in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Tijuana 0–0 Puebla.
Going into the match, Club Tijuana had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Puebla had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Club Tijuana's last 10 and 5 of Puebla's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Tijuana averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Puebla averaged 1.23 scored and 2.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Club Tijuana and 1.18 from Puebla. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Tijuana (green) and Puebla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | DLDLW | 1.20 | 1.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Puebla | DLDLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Necaxa vs Atlas · 17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2