Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Atlante FC host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Atlante FC 1–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Going into the match, Atlante FC had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. U.N.A.M. - Pumas had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Atlante FC's last 10 and 6 of U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlante FC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaged 1.36 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Atlante FC and 1.43 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 41%, against 35%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Atlante FC (green) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence55% – 45%

Overall strength47% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Atlante FC	LWDLD	0.80	1.90	50%	40%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	DLDLW	1.10	1.70	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Double Chance 12	72%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	58%	1.62
Over 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.