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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Atlético Güemes host Colegiales in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Atlético Güemes 0–1 Colegiales.
Going into the match, Club Atlético Güemes had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 17. Colegiales had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Club Atlético Güemes's last 10 and 4 of Colegiales's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Atlético Güemes averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Colegiales averaged 0.27 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Club Atlético Güemes and 1.42 from Colegiales. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 54%, against 27%, 31% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Atlético Güemes (green) and Colegiales (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético Güemes | LLLLD | 0.40 | 1.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Colegiales | WLWLW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Colegiales 4–1 Club Atlético Güemes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Colegiales Win | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.