China vs Tajikistan prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

China WinOdds 1.53Market probability 59%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

China host Tajikistan in the Friendlies (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is China Win — China to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: China 0–1 Tajikistan.

Going into the match, China had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Tajikistan had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 6 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of China's last 5 and 3 of Tajikistan's last 4; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home China averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tajikistan averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.

The 1X2 prices imply about 59% for China, 24% for the draw and 17% for Tajikistan once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between China (green) and Tajikistan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack45% – 55%

Defence44% – 56%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals100% – 0%

Overall strength58% – 41%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
China	LLWDW	1.00	1.80	20%	80%
Tajikistan	LLDW	1.50	1.75	75%	50%

Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.44
China Win	59%	1.53
BTTS No	58%	1.62
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.