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NWSL Women · USA
Chicago Red Stars W vs Seattle Reign FC W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chicago Red Stars W host Seattle Reign FC W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chicago Red Stars W 1–3 Seattle Reign FC W.
Going into the match, Chicago Red Stars W had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 30. Seattle Reign FC W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chicago Red Stars W's last 10 and 4 of Seattle Reign FC W's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chicago Red Stars W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Seattle Reign FC W averaged 1.36 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.62 goals from Chicago Red Stars W and 2.07 from Seattle Reign FC W. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 70%, against 14%, 21% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chicago Red Stars W (green) and Seattle Reign FC W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars W | LLLDL | 0.60 | 3.00 | 40% | 70% |
| Seattle Reign FC W | LWLLW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Seattle Reign FC W Win | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–2