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NWSL Women · USA
Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bay FC W host Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bay FC W 2–2 Portland Thorns W.
Going into the match, Bay FC W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Portland Thorns W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bay FC W's last 10 and 9 of Portland Thorns W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bay FC W averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Portland Thorns W averaged 1.70 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Bay FC W and 1.67 from Portland Thorns W. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 44%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bay FC W (green) and Portland Thorns W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay FC W | LLWDL | 1.00 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Portland Thorns W | LDWDL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 May 2026 · Portland Thorns W 2–0 Bay FC W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Chicago Red Stars W vs Seattle Reign FC W · 18 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3