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UEFA Champions League Women · International

Chelsea W vs Roma W prediction and preview

28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.80Market probability 51%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chelsea W host Roma W in the UEFA Champions League Women (International) on 28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Chelsea W 2–0 Roma W.

Going into the match, Chelsea W had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 4. Roma W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea W's last 10 and 6 of Roma W's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelsea W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Roma W averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.49 goals from Chelsea W and 0.74 from Roma W. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 8%, against 82%, 12% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chelsea W (green) and Roma W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form91% – 9%
Attack100% – 0%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head100% – 0%
Goals100% – 0%
Overall strength83% – 17%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Chelsea WWWWDW2.300.4030%40%
Roma WWWWLW2.701.6060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Chelsea W HT & FT66%1.44
Chelsea W 1st Half Win65%1.40
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals54%1.73
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes51%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Champions League Women matches that day