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UEFA Champions League Women · International
Bayern Munich W vs Real Madrid W prediction and preview
28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bayern Munich W host Real Madrid W in the UEFA Champions League Women (International) on 28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bayern Munich W 2–2 Real Madrid W.
Going into the match, Bayern Munich W had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 9. Real Madrid W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bayern Munich W's last 10 and 7 of Real Madrid W's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bayern Munich W averaged 2.78 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Real Madrid W averaged 2.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.77 goals from Bayern Munich W and 1.06 from Real Madrid W. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 11%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bayern Munich W (green) and Real Madrid W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich W | WWWWW | 3.20 | 0.90 | 60% | 80% |
| Real Madrid W | WWLDW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Bayern Munich W Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Bayern Munich W form and statistics
- Real Madrid W form and statistics
- UEFA Champions League Women statistics
Other UEFA Champions League Women matches that day
- Arsenal W vs SL Benfica W · 28 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.83 · FT 3–0 - Lyon W vs Inter Milano W · 28 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 · FT 6–0 - Chelsea W vs Roma W · 28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.80 · FT 2–0 - Servette Chênois W vs OH Leuven W · 28 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.80 · FT 5–1