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Premiership · Scotland
Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celtic host Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership (Scotland) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
Going into the match, Celtic had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Heart Of Midlothian had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Celtic's last 10 and 8 of Heart Of Midlothian's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celtic averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Heart Of Midlothian averaged 1.36 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Celtic and 1.47 from Heart Of Midlothian. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 23%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celtic (green) and Heart Of Midlothian (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | LWLLL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Heart Of Midlothian | DWDLW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Celtic Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.