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Premier League · Jamaica
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cavalier host Montego Bay United in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Cavalier 1–3 Montego Bay United.
Going into the match, Cavalier had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Montego Bay United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cavalier's last 10 and 3 of Montego Bay United's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cavalier averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Montego Bay United averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Cavalier and 1.15 from Montego Bay United. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cavalier (green) and Montego Bay United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalier | DWLWL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Montego Bay United | WWDWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 May 2026 · Montego Bay United 0–2 Cavalier
- 18 May 2026 · Cavalier 0–1 Montego Bay United