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Serie D - Girone I · Italy
CastrumFavara vs Igea Virtus prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CastrumFavara host Igea Virtus in the Serie D - Girone I (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Igea Virtus to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: CastrumFavara 3–2 Igea Virtus.
Going into the match, CastrumFavara had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Igea Virtus had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of CastrumFavara's last 10 and 9 of Igea Virtus's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CastrumFavara averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Igea Virtus averaged 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from CastrumFavara and 1.80 from Igea Virtus. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 39%. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CastrumFavara (green) and Igea Virtus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CastrumFavara | LLLDL | 1.60 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Igea Virtus | WDLWW | 2.10 | 1.90 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.