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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Capivariano U20 vs Ibrachina U20 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Capivariano U20 host Ibrachina U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Capivariano U20 2–1 Ibrachina U20.
Going into the match, Capivariano U20 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Ibrachina U20 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Capivariano U20's last 10 and 3 of Ibrachina U20's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Capivariano U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ibrachina U20 averaged 1.38 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Capivariano U20 and 1.13 from Ibrachina U20. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Capivariano U20 (green) and Ibrachina U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capivariano U20 | WLDWL | 1.40 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Ibrachina U20 | WDWDW | 2.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Ibrachina U20 Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Ibrachina U20 HT & FT | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.