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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cancún host CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 1 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Cancún to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 80% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cancún had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. CDS Tampico Madero had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cancún's last 10 and 7 of CDS Tampico Madero's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cancún averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home CDS Tampico Madero averaged 0.73 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Cancún and 0.70 from CDS Tampico Madero. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 12%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cancún (green) and CDS Tampico Madero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancún | WDDWL | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| CDS Tampico Madero | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 May 2026 · Cancún 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero
- 1 May 2026 · CDS Tampico Madero 2–1 Cancún
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| Cancún Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- Durango vs Monarcas · 1 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Piratas vs Tapatío · 1 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Piratas Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala · 31 Oct 2026, 21:45 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes