Buxoro vs Surkhon prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.91Market probability 52%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Buxoro host Surkhon in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Surkhon to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.91, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Buxoro had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Surkhon had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Buxoro's last 10 and 2 of Surkhon's last 10; 8 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Buxoro averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Surkhon averaged 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Buxoro and 0.70 from Surkhon. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 18%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Buxoro (green) and Surkhon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence14% – 86%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals22% – 78%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Buxoro	WWLLL	2.00	1.70	90%	80%
Surkhon	DDWLW	0.40	0.70	20%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.41
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
BTTS Yes	50%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00
Buxoro HT & FT	32%	2.88

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.