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USL Championship · USA
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brooklyn host Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship (USA) on 21 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brooklyn 1–2 Birmingham Legion.
Going into the match, Brooklyn had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 23. Birmingham Legion had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Brooklyn's last 10 and 5 of Birmingham Legion's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brooklyn averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Birmingham Legion averaged 1.08 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Brooklyn and 2.04 from Birmingham Legion. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 50%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brooklyn (green) and Birmingham Legion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn | WLLLD | 1.20 | 2.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Birmingham Legion | DWLWL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Sep 2026 · Birmingham Legion 4–0 Brooklyn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Sporting JAX vs Louisville City · 21 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2