Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Vardar Skopje WinOdds 1.48Market probability 60%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bregalnica Štip host Vardar Skopje in the First League (Macedonia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Vardar Skopje Win — Vardar Skopje to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Bregalnica Štip 0–1 Vardar Skopje.

Going into the match, Bregalnica Štip had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Vardar Skopje had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Bregalnica Štip's last 10 and 5 of Vardar Skopje's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bregalnica Štip averaged 3.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vardar Skopje averaged 2.23 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Bregalnica Štip and 1.63 from Vardar Skopje. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 50%, against 17%, 23% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bregalnica Štip (green) and Vardar Skopje (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%

Attack23% – 77%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength33% – 66%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Bregalnica Štip	LWDWL	1.50	1.70	30%	70%
Vardar Skopje	WWDWW	2.10	1.00	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Jul 2026 · Vardar Skopje 2–0 Bregalnica Štip

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	71%	1.28
Vardar Skopje Win	62%	1.48
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.46
Under 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
BTTS Yes	50%	1.82
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.05
Vardar Skopje HT & FT	41%	2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.