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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Botafogo SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20 prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Botafogo SP U20 host Palmeiras U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Botafogo SP U20 0–1 Palmeiras U20.
Going into the match, Botafogo SP U20 had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 8. Palmeiras U20 had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Botafogo SP U20's last 10 and 4 of Palmeiras U20's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Botafogo SP U20 averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Palmeiras U20 averaged 2.06 scored and 0.50 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Botafogo SP U20 and 1.85 from Palmeiras U20. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 58%, against 13%, 18% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Botafogo SP U20 (green) and Palmeiras U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP U20 | DWDWW | 2.10 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Palmeiras U20 | DWDWW | 2.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras U20 Win | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Palmeiras U20 HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 0-3 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.