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Championship · England
Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Blackburn host Cardiff in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff.
Going into the match, Blackburn had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Cardiff had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Blackburn's last 10 and 8 of Cardiff's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Blackburn averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Cardiff averaged 2.44 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Blackburn and 1.69 from Cardiff. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 34%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Blackburn (green) and Cardiff (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.