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1 Lyga · Lithuania
BFA vs Minija prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BFA host Minija in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Minija Win — Minija to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, BFA had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Minija had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of BFA's last 10 and 4 of Minija's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BFA averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Minija averaged 3.07 scored and 0.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from BFA and 2.36 from Minija. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 66%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BFA (green) and Minija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Minija 3–0 BFA
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Minija Win | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1 Lyga matches that day
- Atmosfera vs Jonava · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 - Neptūną Klaipėda vs Ekranas · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 - Tauras vs Be1 NFA · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44