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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Atmosfera vs Jonava prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atmosfera host Jonava in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Atmosfera had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Jonava had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Atmosfera's last 10 and 4 of Jonava's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atmosfera averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jonava averaged 2.08 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Atmosfera and 0.85 from Jonava. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 21%, against 53%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atmosfera (green) and Jonava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jun 2026 · Jonava 1–1 Atmosfera
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Atmosfera Win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1 Lyga matches that day
- BFA vs Minija · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Minija Win @ 1.65 - Neptūną Klaipėda vs Ekranas · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 - Tauras vs Be1 NFA · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44