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1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland
Bellinzona vs Zürich II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bellinzona host Zürich II in the 1. Liga Promotion (Switzerland) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bellinzona Win — Bellinzona to win. It was published at odds of 2.05, which the bookmaker market rated at about 43% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bellinzona 0–4 Zürich II.
Going into the match, Bellinzona had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Zürich II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bellinzona's last 10 and 8 of Zürich II's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bellinzona averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Zürich II averaged 1.50 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Bellinzona and 2.46 from Zürich II. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 60%, against 43%, 24% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 20%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bellinzona (green) and Zürich II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinzona | DLWLD | 0.80 | 2.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Zürich II | LDLLW | 1.60 | 2.10 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| Bellinzona Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Bellinzona HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.