Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.50Market probability 61%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Awassa Kenema host Mekelakeya in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Awassa Kenema to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Awassa Kenema 0–1 Mekelakeya.

Going into the match, Awassa Kenema had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Mekelakeya had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Awassa Kenema's last 10 and 3 of Mekelakeya's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Awassa Kenema averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Mekelakeya averaged 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from Awassa Kenema and 0.92 from Mekelakeya. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 37%, against 30%, 32% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Awassa Kenema (green) and Mekelakeya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals58% – 42%

Overall strength60% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Awassa Kenema	LDDLW	0.70	1.10	50%	30%
Mekelakeya	DLWLL	0.90	0.90	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

19 Apr 2026 · Mekelakeya 0–0 Awassa Kenema