Aucas vs LDU de Quito prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 67%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Aucas host LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito.

Going into the match, Aucas had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. LDU de Quito had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Aucas's last 10 and 6 of LDU de Quito's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aucas averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home LDU de Quito averaged 0.89 scored and 0.89 conceded across 18.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Aucas and 0.94 from LDU de Quito. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 34%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Aucas (green) and LDU de Quito (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form21% – 79%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals29% – 71%

Overall strength31% – 68%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Aucas	LLDDD	0.70	0.90	50%	20%
LDU de Quito	WWWDL	1.50	0.90	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Aug 2026 · LDU de Quito 1–0 Aucas
17 Aug 2026 · Aucas 0–1 LDU de Quito
23 Apr 2026 · LDU de Quito 0–0 Aucas

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	72%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	67%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.65
Under 9.5 Corners	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.