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Primera División · Peru
Atletico Grau vs ADT prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico Grau host ADT in the Primera División (Peru) on 23 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Atletico Grau Win — Atletico Grau to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Atletico Grau had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. ADT had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atletico Grau's last 10 and 4 of ADT's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Grau averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home ADT averaged 0.85 scored and 2.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Atletico Grau and 0.78 from ADT. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 17%, against 57%, 26% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico Grau (green) and ADT (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | LDLWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
| ADT | LDLLW | 0.70 | 2.20 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Atletico Grau Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44