Athletic Club W vs Sevilla W prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Athletic Club W host Sevilla W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Athletic Club W 0–0 Sevilla W.

Going into the match, Athletic Club W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Sevilla W had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Athletic Club W's last 10 and 3 of Sevilla W's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athletic Club W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sevilla W averaged 0.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Athletic Club W and 0.74 from Sevilla W. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 21%, against 48%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Athletic Club W (green) and Sevilla W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form62% – 38%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals47% – 53%

Overall strength52% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Athletic Club W	WDWLD	1.80	1.00	50%	50%
Sevilla W	DDLWL	0.80	1.30	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.22
Under 3.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
BTTS Yes	51%	1.83
Athletic Club W Win	49%	1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.