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Primera División Femenina · Spain

Real Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Real Madrid W host Granad. Tenerife W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Real Madrid W 3–2 Granad. Tenerife W.

Going into the match, Real Madrid W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Granad. Tenerife W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Real Madrid W's last 10 and 6 of Granad. Tenerife W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Madrid W averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Granad. Tenerife W averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.37 goals from Real Madrid W and 1.23 from Granad. Tenerife W. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 63%, 19% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Real Madrid WWLDWD2.001.7070%60%
Granad. Tenerife WWWWLD1.501.6060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Real Madrid W Win64%1.42
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.44
BTTS Yes57%1.67
Under 3.5 Goals56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals54%1.73
Real Madrid W HT & FT45%2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primera División Femenina matches that day