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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Asti vs Lascaris prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Asti host Lascaris in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Asti 0–1 Lascaris.
Going into the match, Asti had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Lascaris had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 4 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Asti's last 10 and 2 of Lascaris's last 6; 4 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Asti averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Lascaris averaged 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Asti and 0.76 from Lascaris. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 28%, against 43%, 31% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Asti (green) and Lascaris (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.13 |
| Asti Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.