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Serie B · Italy
Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arezzo host Cremonese in the Serie B (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese.
Going into the match, Arezzo had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Cremonese had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Arezzo's last 10 and 3 of Cremonese's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arezzo averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Cremonese averaged 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Arezzo and 1.38 from Cremonese. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 44%, against 31%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Cremonese Win | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.