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Primera División · Venezuela
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Anzoátegui FC host Carabobo FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Carabobo FC Win — Carabobo FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Anzoátegui FC 0–1 Carabobo FC.
Going into the match, Anzoátegui FC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Carabobo FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Anzoátegui FC's last 10 and 3 of Carabobo FC's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Anzoátegui FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Carabobo FC averaged 1.38 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from Anzoátegui FC and 1.31 from Carabobo FC. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 49%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Anzoátegui FC (green) and Carabobo FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzoátegui FC | DLLWL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Carabobo FC | DWWWL | 1.20 | 0.70 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Carabobo FC 6–3 Anzoátegui FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Carabobo FC Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.