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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · International
Angola vs Malawi prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Angola host Malawi in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Angola Win — Angola to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Angola 3–1 Malawi.
Going into the match, Angola had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Malawi had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3, with 3 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Angola's last 3 and 2 of Malawi's last 3; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Angola averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Malawi averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 66% for Angola, 23% for the draw and 11% for Malawi once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Angola (green) and Malawi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Angola Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Angola HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.