Alondras vs Coruña prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Alondras host Coruña in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Alondras 0–1 Coruña.

Going into the match, Alondras had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Coruña had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Alondras's last 9 and 7 of Coruña's last 9; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alondras averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Coruña averaged 1.50 scored and 2.75 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Alondras and 1.76 from Coruña. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 40%, against 52%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Alondras (green) and Coruña (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Alondras form and statistics
• Coruña form and statistics
• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics