Almagro vs Tristan Suarez prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Tristan Suarez WinOdds 1.70Market probability 53%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Almagro host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Tristan Suarez Win — Tristan Suarez to win. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Almagro had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Tristan Suarez had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 2 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Almagro's last 10 and 1 of Tristan Suarez's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Almagro averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Tristan Suarez averaged 0.73 scored and 0.60 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Almagro and 0.89 from Tristan Suarez. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 38%, against 16%, 29% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Almagro (green) and Tristan Suarez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence0% – 100%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals43% – 57%

Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Almagro	LWWLL	1.00	1.40	60%	60%
Tristan Suarez	WDDWD	0.70	0.20	10%	10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

7 Jun 2026 · Tristan Suarez 0–0 Almagro

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
Double Chance 12	71%	1.33
BTTS No	69%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Tristan Suarez Win	55%	1.70
Tristan Suarez HT & FT	38%	2.50
0-1	24%	4.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.