Home › League stats › Pro League › Al-Nassr vs NEOM
Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Nassr vs NEOM prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Nassr host NEOM in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM.
Going into the match, Al-Nassr had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 13. NEOM had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Nassr's last 10 and 3 of NEOM's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Nassr averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home NEOM averaged 1.31 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Al-Nassr and 1.17 from NEOM. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 33%, against 66%, 18% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Nassr (green) and NEOM (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Al-Nassr Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC · 20 Oct 2026, 15:10 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–1 - Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh · 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0