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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Diriyah host Al Riyadh in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Riyadh.
Going into the match, Al Diriyah had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Al Riyadh had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Al Diriyah's last 10 and 4 of Al Riyadh's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Diriyah averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Al Riyadh averaged 1.50 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Al Diriyah and 0.97 from Al Riyadh. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 60%, 23% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Diriyah (green) and Al Riyadh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | DLDWL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Al Riyadh | DWDLW | 1.30 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Al Diriyah Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - Al-Nassr vs NEOM · 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC · 20 Oct 2026, 15:10 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–1