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Iraqi League · Iraq
Al Kahrabaa vs Al Talaba prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Kahrabaa host Al Talaba in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Al Talaba to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Kahrabaa 0–1 Al Talaba.
Going into the match, Al Kahrabaa had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Al Talaba had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Al Kahrabaa's last 10 and 5 of Al Talaba's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Kahrabaa averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Al Talaba averaged 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Al Kahrabaa and 1.01 from Al Talaba. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 35%, against 32%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Kahrabaa (green) and Al Talaba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kahrabaa | DLWLD | 0.80 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Al Talaba | DDLWD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Al Talaba Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Iraqi League matches that day
- Diyala vs Naft Maysan · 16 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Iraqi League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–0 - Karbala vs Gharraf · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Iraqi League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–2 - Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Iraqi League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 2–0