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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Hazm host Al-Fateh in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 15 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh.
Going into the match, Al-Hazm had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Al-Fateh had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Hazm's last 10 and 3 of Al-Fateh's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Hazm averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Al-Fateh averaged 0.50 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Al-Hazm and 1.03 from Al-Fateh. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 23%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Hazm (green) and Al-Fateh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr · 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha · 15 Oct 2026, 14:50 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–0 - Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood · 15 Oct 2026, 13:40 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 · FT 3–2