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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al-Nassr in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Al-Nassr had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 10 and 7 of Al-Nassr's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Ahli Jeddah averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Al-Nassr averaged 2.23 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.81 from Al-Nassr. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 39%, against 31%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Ahli Jeddah (green) and Al-Nassr (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | WWLDW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Al-Nassr | WWLDW | 2.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Al-Nassr Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh · 15 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–3 - Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha · 15 Oct 2026, 14:50 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–0 - Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood · 15 Oct 2026, 13:40 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 · FT 3–2