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National League - South · England
AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Totton host Walton & Hersham in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Totton 0–1 Walton & Hersham.
Going into the match, AFC Totton had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Walton & Hersham had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Totton's last 10 and 5 of Walton & Hersham's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Totton averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Walton & Hersham averaged 1.42 scored and 2.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from AFC Totton and 1.52 from Walton & Hersham. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Totton | LLLLW | 0.80 | 1.70 | 30% | 40% |
| Walton & Hersham | WDLDL | 0.80 | 2.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.