ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ADO Den Haag host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven.

Going into the match, ADO Den Haag had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. PSV Eindhoven had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of ADO Den Haag's last 10 and 8 of PSV Eindhoven's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ADO Den Haag averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home PSV Eindhoven averaged 2.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from ADO Den Haag and 2.63 from PSV Eindhoven. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 67%, against 13%, 15% and 72% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ADO Den Haag (green) and PSV Eindhoven (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form20% – 80%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals21% – 79%

Overall strength22% – 77%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
ADO Den Haag	DDLLD	1.30	1.90	60%	60%
PSV Eindhoven	LWLWD	2.70	1.20	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
PSV Eindhoven Win	74%	1.30
BTTS 1st Half - No	71%	1.33
BTTS Yes	63%	1.50
PSV Eindhoven 1st Half Win	57%	1.62
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
PSV Eindhoven HT & FT	53%	1.80
Over 10.5 Corners	50%	1.83
2nd Half Higher Goals	47%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.