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League Two · England
Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · The Crown Ground, Accrington
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Accrington ST host Northampton in the League Two (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Northampton +1.5 Asian Handicap — Northampton +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Accrington ST had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Northampton had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Accrington ST's last 10 and 4 of Northampton's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Accrington ST averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Northampton averaged 1.08 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Accrington ST and 0.53 from Northampton. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 16%, against 45%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Accrington ST (green) and Northampton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | WDWDD | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Northampton | WLWDL | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Accrington ST Win | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Colchester vs Walsall · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Crewe vs Barnet · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Oldham vs Crawley Town · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 - Salford City vs Exeter City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Shrewsbury vs Gillingham · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Swindon Town vs Rotherham · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Rotherham +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Tranmere vs Cheltenham · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Grimsby vs York · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: York +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Port Vale vs Rochdale · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30