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Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1. FC Köln host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, 1. FC Köln had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Bayer Leverkusen had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 and 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1. FC Köln averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.62 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from 1. FC Köln and 1.51 from Bayer Leverkusen. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 25%, 24% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1. FC Köln (green) and Bayer Leverkusen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | DWDLW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | LLWLW | 2.30 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Bayer Leverkusen Win | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 · 8 Nov 2026, 18:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin · 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62