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1st League - RS · Bosnia
Zvijezda 09 vs Drina Zvornik prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zvijezda 09 host Drina Zvornik in the 1st League - RS (Bosnia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.00, which the bookmaker market rated at about 47% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Zvijezda 09 had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 32. Drina Zvornik had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zvijezda 09's last 10 and 6 of Drina Zvornik's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zvijezda 09 averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Drina Zvornik averaged 1.82 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Zvijezda 09 and 2.61 from Drina Zvornik. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 70%, against 25%, 25% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 29%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zvijezda 09 (green) and Drina Zvornik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zvijezda 09 | LLLLL | 0.70 | 3.20 | 50% | 80% |
| Drina Zvornik | DWLDW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.78 |
| Drina Zvornik Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Drina Zvornik HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.