Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Zorya Luhansk WinOdds 1.55Market probability 56%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Zorya Luhansk host Chornomorets in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zorya Luhansk Win — Zorya Luhansk to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Chornomorets.

Going into the match, Zorya Luhansk had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Chornomorets had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Zorya Luhansk's last 10 and 5 of Chornomorets's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zorya Luhansk averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chornomorets averaged 0.89 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Zorya Luhansk and 0.77 from Chornomorets. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 18%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Zorya Luhansk (green) and Chornomorets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack63% – 38%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Zorya Luhansk	WLDWD	1.80	1.20	50%	50%
Chornomorets	LDLDW	0.70	1.30	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	73%	1.25
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Zorya Luhansk Win	57%	1.55
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
BTTS Yes	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.