Home › League stats › II Liga - East › Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola
II Liga - East · Poland
Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Znicz Pruszków host Stal Stalowa Wola in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Znicz Pruszków 4–2 Stal Stalowa Wola.
Going into the match, Znicz Pruszków had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Stal Stalowa Wola had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Znicz Pruszków's last 10 and 5 of Stal Stalowa Wola's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Znicz Pruszków averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Znicz Pruszków and 1.39 from Stal Stalowa Wola. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 20%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Znicz Pruszków (green) and Stal Stalowa Wola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | WDWDW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 90% | 60% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | WLDLL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Znicz Pruszków Win | 49% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.