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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Zhenys vs Atyrau prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zhenys host Atyrau in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zhenys 1–2 Atyrau.
Going into the match, Zhenys had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Atyrau had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Zhenys's last 10 and 5 of Atyrau's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zhenys averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Atyrau averaged 0.91 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Zhenys and 0.90 from Atyrau. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
| Zhenys Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Zhenys HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.