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Super Liga · Serbia

Zemun vs Macva prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.36Market probability 71%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Zemun host Macva in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Zemun had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 19. Macva had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Zemun's last 10 and 5 of Macva's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zemun averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Macva averaged 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Zemun and 0.98 from Macva. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 32%, against 35%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Zemun (green) and Macva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence39% – 61%
Head-to-head75% – 25%
Goals71% – 29%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ZemunLLDDL0.401.9030%50%
MacvaDDLLD0.801.2050%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1271%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals56%1.67
Under 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes50%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals44%2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Super Liga matches that day