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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zbrojovka Brno host FK Jablonec in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 FK Jablonec.
Going into the match, Zbrojovka Brno had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 11. FK Jablonec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Zbrojovka Brno's last 10 and 4 of FK Jablonec's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zbrojovka Brno averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FK Jablonec averaged 0.85 scored and 2.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Zbrojovka Brno and 0.86 from FK Jablonec. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 23%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zbrojovka Brno (green) and FK Jablonec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | WLWWL | 2.60 | 1.10 | 30% | 60% |
| FK Jablonec | WDLWL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.