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II Liga - East · Poland
Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Olimpia Grudziądz prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zawisza Bydgoszcz host Olimpia Grudziądz in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1–2 Olimpia Grudziądz.
Going into the match, Zawisza Bydgoszcz had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Olimpia Grudziądz had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Zawisza Bydgoszcz's last 10 and 8 of Olimpia Grudziądz's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zawisza Bydgoszcz averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Olimpia Grudziądz averaged 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.42 from Olimpia Grudziądz. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zawisza Bydgoszcz (green) and Olimpia Grudziądz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | DDDWW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | LDWWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.