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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Zaragoza vs Teruel prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zaragoza host Teruel in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zaragoza Win — Zaragoza to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zaragoza 4–1 Teruel.
Going into the match, Zaragoza had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Teruel had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zaragoza's last 10 and 3 of Teruel's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zaragoza averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Teruel averaged 0.44 scored and 2.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Zaragoza and 0.41 from Teruel. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 6%, against 69%, 21% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zaragoza (green) and Teruel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Zaragoza Win | 69% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Zaragoza HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.